Sensitivity Analysis: How raw material price changes impact consumer goods COGS in India
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| Output Good | Segment | Current COGS | Mapped % | Trend COGS | Trend Delta | User COGS | User Delta |
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This sensitivity model maps the raw material composition of 10 common consumer goods in India and calculates how commodity price changes pass through to their Cost of Goods Sold (COGS). It covers 50 raw materials across metals, plastics, electronics, petrochemicals, agricultural commodities, and key components.
For each output good, 73–80% of COGS is mapped to specific raw materials. The remaining 20–27% (labour, overheads, logistics) is held constant. When you change a raw material price, only the mapped portion recalculates: New COGS = Sum of (Material Cost × (1 + Your % Change)) + Unmapped Cost.
Material compositions are derived from annual reports of listed Indian companies (Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Auto, Voltas, Dixon Technologies, ITC, Britannia, Adani Wilmar), industry body data (SIAM for automobiles, CEAMA for electronics), product teardown analyses, and IMARC manufacturing economics reports. Where exact breakdowns are proprietary, industry-standard estimates are used and clearly marked.
Quarterly prices (Q2 FY25 through Q1 FY26) sourced from: MCX India (metals), PPAC (crude oil), NMDC (iron ore), FCI (wheat), Rubber Board of India, GAIL/Plastemart (polymers), SEA/NCDEX (edible oils), SteelMint, ICIS (petrochemicals), Trading Economics, and industry trade portals.
Exact component-level cost breakdowns are proprietary for most Indian manufacturers. Compositions are indicative industry estimates, not audited figures. Electronics pricing (semiconductors, LCD panels) relies on industry estimates rather than exchange-traded prices. This tool is for scenario analysis, not precise cost accounting.
This model is provided for educational and strategic discussion purposes only. The cost compositions presented are indicative estimates based on publicly available disclosures, industry reports, and sectoral analysis. They do not represent audited internal cost structures of any specific company. Commodity prices are historical references and may not reflect real-time or contract-level pricing dynamics. This tool does not constitute investment advice, valuation guidance, or financial recommendation. Users are advised to conduct independent verification before relying on any outputs for decision-making purposes.